Retail Media in Europe: Fragmentation, Trade Budgets and Proof

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European retail media is usually benchmarked against Meta and Google. It should be benchmarked against an end-cap and a paper coupon. Marketers are reported to be funding retail media largely from existing shopper and trade budgets, replacing printed coupons and in-store displays with dynamic banners — which means the honest test is not whether a retail media network beats paid social, but whether it beats the promotional mechanic it displaced. In February 2026 the IAB and IAB Europe published a framework explicitly separating measurable retail media from legacy trade spend, which suggests the industry has noticed the same thing.

A capability page from Digital, Ecommerce & Performance Marketing in Europe. Compare with the US retail media analysis — the two markets differ more than the shared label suggests. Last reviewed August 2026.

€13.3BEuropean retail media, 2025, IAB basis
16.7%Growth, past 10% of digital spend
5–7+Networks a brand must manage separately
50–70%Operating margins on retailer media revenue
~73%Of UK retail media spend goes to Amazon
86%Call attribution improvement a priority

1. How big it actually is

Two credible sources give materially different answers, and for anyone budgeting European digital marketing the gap is instructive rather than embarrassing.

SourceFigureBasis
IAB Europe AdEx Benchmark 2025€13.3bn in 2025, +16.7%Sell-side ad spend study; on-site retailer search and display
WARC, as reported€22.3bn forecast 2026, €31.3bn by 2028Broader regional definition
IAB Europe noteIts own retail media figure is lower than its separately published totalsScope difference acknowledged in the report

Sources: IAB Europe AdEx Benchmark 2025, published 7 July 2026, recording retail media growth of 16.7% to €13.3 billion and passing 10% of total digital ad spend for the first time; WARC forecasts as cited in 2026 market analysis. IAB Europe explicitly notes its AdEx retail media numbers are sell-side focused and therefore lower than the total retail media figures it publishes separately. These are not competing estimates of the same thing — they measure different scopes, and quoting one against the other is a common error.

The IAB Europe milestone is the more useful fact regardless of absolute size: retail media passed 10% of total European digital ad spend for the first time, growing faster than display, search or classifieds.

2. Why European retailers built these networks

This is the part that explains everything else, and it is rarely stated plainly. European retailers face compressed fulfilment economics that erode core profitability, and media revenue carries operating margins reported at 50–70%.

European grocery delivery is a difficult business. Selling advertising against the customers who use it is not. Retail media exists because the core operation stopped paying, and understanding that tells you who holds the negotiating leverage.

Reported analysis notes the incremental profit lets chains reinvest in price competitiveness, logistics and loyalty. For a brand buying that inventory, the implication is direct: you are funding a margin repair programme, which is a reasonable trade only if the media works on its own terms.

PartyWhat they wantConsequence for the buyer
RetailerHigh-margin media revenueStrong incentive to report favourably
BrandIncremental salesNeeds measurement the retailer does not supply
Category buyerTrade termsMedia and listing negotiations blur
Ad tech providerPlatform feesInfrastructure often shared across retailers

Based on reported operating margin figures for retailer media revenue and the documented pivot driven by compressed fulfilment economics. Incentive analysis is operational judgement. Note that Criteo is reported to run the retail media infrastructure of several major European retailers including Carrefour and Tesco, so networks that appear independent may share plumbing.

3. The trade budget question nobody asks

Retail media is reported to be funded largely from existing shopper and trade budgets, replacing paper coupons and end-caps with dynamic banners that adjust in real time. If that is where the money comes from, the comparison that matters changes completely.

You are probably benchmarking against the wrong thing The comparison usually made Retail media ROAS vs Meta ROAS The comparison the budget actually implies Dynamic banner vs end-cap and coupon Different budget, different objective, different decision-maker Same budget, same objective, and a measurable predecessor If it came out of the trade budget, judge it against what the trade budget bought. Based on reporting that retail media is funded largely from existing shopper and trade budgets. Framing is my own.

Based on reported analysis that marketers fund retail media largely from existing shopper and trade budgets, replacing paper coupons and end-caps with dynamic banners. The benchmarking argument is mine and is offered as a planning frame rather than a finding.

The industry appears to be converging on the same point. In February 2026 the IAB and IAB Europe published a formal framework separating measurable retail media from legacy trade spend — an acknowledgement that the two have been blurred, and that separating them is a prerequisite for evaluating either.

4. Fragmentation is worse here than in the US

This is the structural difference that makes European retail media a harder operating problem than the American version, and it follows directly from Europe having no single dominant grocer.

DimensionUnited StatesEurope
ConcentrationAmazon and Walmart absorb over 84% of budgetsAmazon strong but grocery split across national chains
Grocery leaderWalmart at national scaleCarrefour, Tesco, Ahold and national players by market
Markets to coverOne31 in IAB Europe’s framework
UK specificallyAround 73% of retail media spend to Amazon
Operational loadFewer relationships5–7+ networks with separate logins and conventions

Sources: reported figures that Amazon and Walmart absorb over 84% of US retail media budgets and that around 73% of UK retail media spend goes to Amazon; IAB Europe’s standardised definitions covering 31 European markets; reported challenge that advertisers now manage campaigns across five to seven or more networks with separate logins, reporting and naming conventions.

For European performance marketing planning, the UK figure is worth isolating. At roughly 73% Amazon share, the UK behaves more like the US concentration pattern than like continental Europe, where national grocers hold materially stronger positions. A pan-European retail media plan that treats the UK and Germany as the same problem will be wrong about both.

In continental Europe the dominant share is reported to sit with Carrefour Links, the Tesco Media and Insight Platform in partnership with dunnhumby, and Amazon Ads Europe — with Criteo supplying retail media infrastructure to several major retailers. So European ecommerce marketing teams face a landscape that is fragmented at the front end while being more consolidated than it appears underneath.

5. Closed loop is a promise, not a delivery

Retail media’s entire pitch is closed-loop measurement: the network sees the ad and the purchase. Reported analysis is blunt about the gap between that promise and what most networks actually provide, which is last-click attribution within limited windows.

What is promisedWhat is frequently delivered
Closed-loop measurementLast-click attribution in a short window
Full shopper visibilityCoverage gaps for non-loyalty shoppers
IncrementalityAttributed sales, including ones you would have made
Comparable metricsInconsistent KPIs across networks
Independent verificationRetailer reports on its own inventory

Based on reported analysis of the gap between retail media’s closed-loop promise and typical last-click delivery, first-party data coverage gaps for shoppers not enrolled in loyalty programmes, and Forrester’s finding that 86% of decision-makers rate attribution improvement a high or critical priority.

The loyalty coverage gap deserves particular attention in Europe, where loyalty penetration varies widely between markets and retailers. A network that can only see loyalty-card shoppers is reporting on a subset and describing it as the whole.

The seller of the media is also the auditor of the media. That is the same structural problem identified in the US analysis, and no amount of dashboard sophistication resolves it.

6. The standardisation effort underway

Europe is further along on this than most marketers realise, and the timeline is worth knowing because it changes what you can reasonably demand from a network.

DateDevelopment
26 March 2025IAB Europe releases pan-European retail and commerce media definitions across 31 markets
2025IAB finalises in-store retail media measurement standards
9 October 2025Public comment opens on Commerce Media Measurement Standards V2
February 2026IAB and IAB Europe publish framework separating measurable retail media from legacy trade spend

Sources: IAB Europe Retail & Commerce Media Committee publications, including definitions covering on-site retail media, off-site retail media and in-store digital retail media as three distinct categories; IAB in-store measurement standards finalised in 2025; February 2026 joint framework as reported.

The three-category split — on-site, off-site and in-store digital — is the practical takeaway. When a network quotes performance, establish which category the number describes, because they are not comparable and were routinely reported as though they were.

7. In-store is the growth edge

In-store retail media is projected to grow at around 11.62% annually against overall market growth of roughly 6.35%, as connected screens, smart carts and loyalty-linked apps turn physical aisles into measurable inventory. Tesco and Carrefour are reported to be scaling digital screen networks at the shelf edge.

Two cautions belong alongside that. Measurement in-store has historically been fragmented — every retailer’s screens, every signage vendor and every attribution methodology different — which is precisely why the IAB standards finalised in 2025 matter. And deployment is genuinely hard: the Walgreens and Cooler Screens dispute has become the public illustration of sensor reliability, measurement gaps and infrastructure limits in stores never built for always-on displays.

FormatMaturityMeasurement state
On-site search and displayMost matureBest available, still retailer-reported
Off-site extensionGrowingDepends on data quality leaving the walled garden
In-store digitalFastest growthStandards new; deployment is the constraint

Based on reported in-store growth projections of 11.62% CAGR against 6.35% overall, IAB Europe’s three-category framework, and commentary on in-store deployment challenges. Growth projections come from a market research provider and should be treated as directional.

8. What to do before spending anything

Reported practitioner guidance is consistent on sequencing, and the first step is the one most often skipped.

StepActionWhy first
1Fix the retail content — images, descriptions, enhanced content, reviewsRetail media amplifies existing product pages; poor pages get amplified too
2Start with the most mature self-service platformDocumentation and tooling are best
3Establish which measurement category is being reportedOn-site, off-site and in-store are not comparable
4Negotiate co-op programmes with national retailersTrade relationship affects media terms
5Run a holdout before scalingAttributed sales include ones you would have made

Based on reported five-step practitioner guidance for European brands entering retail media, including auditing retail presence before media spend and suggested test budgets of several thousand euros monthly over at least 90 days. The holdout step is my addition, consistent with the incrementality emphasis appearing across 2026 industry commentary.

The first row is the highest-return advice in European performance marketing generally and is regularly ignored because it is not media work. If the product page converts poorly, retail media buys more traffic to a page that converts poorly.

9. What this page does not cover

Not coveredWhy
Individual network rate cardsNegotiated and confidential
Platform interface mechanicsChange frequently
Clean room architecture detailTechnical specialism
Category-level benchmark ROASNot comparable across networks
Trade negotiation strategyCommercially specific
UK-specific dynamics in depthConcentration differs; separate analysis

Scope statement. The fourth row is deliberate: publishing a benchmark ROAS across networks that define attribution differently would be misleading, which is the same reason the industry is standardising definitions.

10. The 90-day plan

Fix the page, then buy the traffic, then prove it: 90 days Day 0 Day 30 Day 60 Day 90 Audit product pages and content Identify which budget is funding this Test on one network, one market Pin down the attribution definition in writing Holdout against the displaced trade mechanic Expand only where incrementality held Red = foundations, amber = controlled test, green = proof, grey = expansion. Indicative.

Indicative sequencing. The second step — identifying which budget funds the spend — determines what you should compare results against, and is usually skipped entirely.

11. Mistakes to avoid

MistakeWhy it happensWhat it costs
Comparing €13.3bn with €22.3bnBoth are published as European retail mediaDifferent scopes; not competing estimates
Benchmarking against paid socialFamiliar comparisonWrong benchmark if trade budget funded it
Accepting retailer-reported ROASIt arrives in a dashboardSeller is auditing its own inventory
Treating on-site and in-store alikeSame network, same invoiceDifferent categories, not comparable
Ignoring loyalty coverage gapsNot disclosed prominentlyReporting describes a subset as the whole
Buying media before fixing pagesMedia is faster to launchAmplifies a weak conversion path
One European plan across 31 marketsEfficiencyUK is ~73% Amazon; the continent is not

Recurring errors in European retail media planning; illustrative.

12. What changes next

Standards are arriving quickly. With pan-European definitions published, in-store measurement standards finalised and Commerce Media Measurement Standards V2 in consultation, the vocabulary gap that made networks incomparable is closing — which will make it harder for a network to define attribution in whatever way flatters it.

Incrementality is becoming the metric that matters. Industry commentary increasingly frames the standardisation gap and the rise of incrementality as the defining issues, which aligns retail media evaluation with the holdout discipline the rest of this cluster recommends.

Commerce media extends beyond the retailer. The category is broadening to carry retailer first-party data off retailer-owned properties into connected TV, social and other commerce-adjacent environments — which increases reach and simultaneously weakens the closed-loop claim that justified the channel.

Key Takeaways

  • Retail media passed 10% of European digital ad spend for the first time, growing 16.7% to €13.3 billion on IAB Europe’s basis.
  • €13.3bn and €22.3bn are different scopes, not competing estimates. IAB Europe says so itself.
  • European retailers built these networks because fulfilment stopped paying. Media revenue carries 50–70% operating margins.
  • If trade budget funded it, benchmark against the end-cap it replaced, not against paid social.
  • Fragmentation is worse than in the US — five to seven or more networks, 31 markets, and no single grocery leader outside the UK.
  • Closed loop is usually last-click in a short window, with coverage gaps for non-loyalty shoppers.
  • Fix product pages before buying media. Retail media amplifies whatever the page already does.

Frequently Asked Questions

How big is European retail media?

IAB Europe recorded €13.3 billion for 2025, growing 16.7% and passing 10% of total digital ad spend for the first time. WARC forecasts around €22.3 billion for 2026 on a broader definition. IAB Europe notes its own figure is sell-side focused and lower than its separately published totals, so the two are not comparable.

Why did European retailers launch media networks?

Because compressed fulfilment economics eroded core profitability while media revenue carries operating margins reported at 50–70%. The incremental profit funds price competitiveness, logistics and loyalty investment — which means a brand buying that inventory is partly funding a margin repair programme.

What should retail media be compared against?

Whatever budget funded it. Since spend is reported to come largely from shopper and trade budgets replacing coupons and end-caps, the meaningful comparison is against those mechanics rather than against paid social — a distinction the IAB’s February 2026 framework separating measurable retail media from legacy trade spend reflects.

Is European retail media more fragmented than the US?

Considerably. Amazon and Walmart absorb over 84% of US budgets, whereas European grocery is split across national chains including Carrefour, Tesco and Ahold across 31 markets. Advertisers report managing five to seven or more networks with separate logins, reporting and naming conventions.

Is the UK different from the rest of Europe?

Yes, and materially. Around 73% of UK retail media spend is reported to go to Amazon, which makes the UK behave more like the concentrated US pattern than like continental markets where national grocers hold stronger positions.

Does retail media really deliver closed-loop measurement?

Less often than the pitch suggests. Reported analysis describes a gap between the closed-loop promise and typical delivery of last-click attribution within limited windows, alongside first-party data coverage gaps for shoppers not enrolled in loyalty programmes.

What is the difference between on-site, off-site and in-store?

They are three distinct categories in IAB Europe’s pan-European definitions, and their metrics are not comparable. When a network quotes performance, establish which category the figure describes before comparing it with anything.

Is in-store retail media worth testing?

It is the fastest-growing segment, projected at around 11.62% annually against 6.35% overall, and the IAB finalised in-store measurement standards in 2025. But deployment remains genuinely difficult, with sensor reliability and infrastructure limits in stores never designed for always-on displays.

What should we do before spending?

Fix the retail content — images, descriptions, enhanced content and reviews. Retail media amplifies existing product pages, so buying traffic to a page that converts poorly simply purchases more of the same outcome at a higher cost.

Conclusion

Retail media is the fastest-growing significant channel in European digital marketing and the one most likely to be evaluated against the wrong benchmark. It grew 16.7% to pass a tenth of all European digital ad spend, it is genuinely closer to the purchase than any other format, and it is sold by parties who need the margin and audit their own results.

None of that makes it a bad buy. It makes it a buy that requires the questions nobody asks at the pitch: which budget is funding this, which measurement category is being reported, what share of shoppers the loyalty data actually covers, and what happened in the markets where you did not run it. Answer those and European ecommerce marketing gains a genuinely useful channel. Skip them and you have replaced a measurable end-cap with an unmeasurable banner and called it transformation.

Retail media is emerging in the Gulf on different terms again — see retail media networks and in-store advertising in the GCC.

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If retail media came out of your trade budget and is being reported against your media benchmarks, those two facts are worth reconciling before the next planning round.

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